The theory that would not die: how Bayes' rule cracked the enigma code, hunted down Russian submarines, and emerged triumphant from two centuries of controversy

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Bayes' rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem: by updating our initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and improved belief. To its adherents, it is an elegant statement about learning from experience. To its opponents, it is subjectivity run amok.

In the first-ever account of Bayes' rule for general readers, Sharon Bertsch McGrayne explores this controversial theorem and the human obsessions surrounding it. She traces its discovery by an amateur mathematician in the 1740s through its development into roughly its modern form by French scientist Pierre Simon Laplace. She reveals why respected statisticians rendered it professionally taboo for 150 years--at the same time that practitioners relied on it to solve crises involving great uncertainty and scanty information (Alan Turing's role in breaking Germany's Enigma code during World War II), and explains how the advent of off-the-shelf computer technology in the 1980s proved to be a game-changer. Today, Bayes' rule is used everywhere from DNA de-coding to Homeland Security.

Drawing on primary source material and interviews with statisticians and other scientists, The Theory That Would Not Die is the riveting account of how a seemingly simple theorem ignited one of the greatest controversies of all time.

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9780300169690
9781452626857
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Grouped Work ID84ba8c81-73a1-cdb2-8139-2b280d4c3b46
Grouping Titletheory that would not die how bayes rule cracked the enigma code hunted down russian submarines and
Grouping Authormcgrayne sharon bertsch
Grouping Categorybook
Last Grouping Update2019-11-09 04:59:15AM
Last Indexed2019-11-13 04:54:57AM

Solr Details

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auth_author2Merlington, Laural.
authorMcGrayne, Sharon Bertsch.
author2-roleMerlington, Laural.|Narrator
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display_description"Bayes' rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem: by updating our initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and improved belief. To its adherents, it is an elegant statement about learning from experience. To its opponents, it is subjectivity run amok. In the first-ever account of Bayes' rule for general readers, Sharon Bertsch McGrayne explores this controversial theorem and the human obsessions surrounding it. She traces its discovery by an amateur mathematician in the 1740s through its development into roughly its modern form by French scientist Pierre Simon Laplace. She reveals why respected statisticians rendered it professionally taboo for 150 years--at the same time that practitioners relied on it to solve crises involving great uncertainty and scanty information, even breaking Germany's Enigma code during World War II, and explains how the advent of off-the-shelf computer technology in the 1980s proved to be a game-changer. Today, Bayes' rule is used everywhere from DNA de-coding to Homeland Security. Drawing on primary source material and interviews with statisticians and other scientists, The Theory That Would Not Die is the riveting account of how a seemingly simple theorem ignited one of the greatest controversies of all time"--
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ils:.b19124570BookBooksEnglishYale University Press, c2011.xiii, 320 p. : ill. ; 25 cm.
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subject_facetBayesian statistical decision theory -- History
Electronic books
Political science
title_displayThe theory that would not die : how Bayes' rule cracked the enigma code, hunted down Russian submarines, & emerged triumphant from two centuries of controversy
title_fullThe theory that would not die : how Bayes' rule cracked the enigma code, hunted down Russian submarines, & emerged triumphant from two centuries of controversy / Sharon Bertsch McGrayne
The theory that would not die : how bayes' rule cracked the enigma code, hunted down russian submarines, and emerged triumphant from two centuries of controversy [electronic resource] / Sharon Bertsch McGrayne
The theory that would not die [electronic resource] : how Bayes' rule cracked the enigma code, hunted down Russian submarines, and emerged triumphant from two centuries of controversy / Sharon Bertsch McGrayne
title_shortThe theory that would not die
title_subhow Bayes' rule cracked the enigma code, hunted down Russian submarines, and emerged triumphant from two centuries of controversy
topic_facetBayesian statistical decision theory
History
Political science